VENICE – An accumulation of rain of 230 millimeters in six hours in Velo d’Astico corresponds to a ‘return time’ of more than 300 years: that is, a phenomenon of this intensity occurs in averageonce every 300 years. But this, specifies the Region, highlighting the particularity of the data, “does not mean, unfortunately, that we will be able to wait so long before seeing this type of event again. This could also happen in a shorter time, even next year, even if with low probability. Climate change will unfortunately make it a more frequent event”.
By also analyzing the 70 millimeters that fell in 30 minutes in other areas of the Veneto, it is possible to state that this corresponds to a return time of around 200 years. These are the first results of some surveys on models statistics carried out immediately after the weather event of the last few hours by Marco Marani, of the Icea Department of the University of Padua, director of the Center for Studies on the Impacts of Climate Change established by the University of Padua in Rovigo. The center actively collaborates on the development of models, including forecasting, with the Arpav.